And here come those ritual November floods I was referring to...



From the National Weather Service today, this Special Weather Statement was posted for the Puget Sound region of Western Washington State. That means Seattle and outlying areas:

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
313 PM PST THU NOV 15 2012

...A MAJOR CHANGE IN THE WEATHER IS COMING THIS WEEKEND...

A SERIES OF STRONG WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL ARRIVE IN WESTERN
WASHINGTON BEGINNING SATURDAY. EACH SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN...HEAVY
AT TIMES...WIND TO MAINLY THE COAST AND NORTH INTERIOR...AND SNOW
TO THE MOUNTAINS.

RAIN...
RAIN WILL DEVELOP LATE FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY MORNING. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES OVER THE COAST AND OLYMPICS. ALL
AREAS WILL GET SOME RAIN. ANOTHER WAVE WILL KEEP THE RAIN COMING
TO MAINLY WESTERN SECTIONS SATURDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER VERY WET FRONT
ARRIVES SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AND ANOTHER SYSTEM ARRIVES MONDAY. THE
PATTERN REMAINS WET THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. ALL IN ALL A VERY
WET PERIOD IS COMING. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL BE HIGH ENOUGH THAT
SOME FLOODING ON THE MOST FLOOD PRONE RIVERS IS LIKELY
.

WIND...
BREEZY OR WINDY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITH THE FIRST TWO MAJOR
SYSTEMS...SATURDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME HIGH WIND IS NOT
FORECAST...BUT PARTS OF THE COAST AND THE NORTH INTERIOR WILL
LIKELY GET WIND THAT IS JUST BELOW HIGH WIND...SUSTAINED WINDS OF
20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO 55 MPH. SUBSEQUENT SYSTEMS DO NOT
LOOK QUITE AS WINDY...BUT THERE IS USUALLY AT LEAST SOME WIND WITH
FRONTS.

SNOW...
THE SNOW LEVEL WILL FLUCTUATE BETWEEN 3000 AND 5000 FEET OVER THE
NEXT WEEK WHILE COPIOUS PRECIPITATION FALLS. AT THIS POINT IT
SEEMS LIKE A SURE BET THAT THE REMAINING OPEN HIGH PASS...
WASHINGTON PASS ON THE NORTH CASCADES HIGHWAY...WILL RECEIVE HEAVY
SNOW. PLACES LIKE PARADISE ON MOUNT RAINIER AND MT BAKER WILL ALSO
GET HEAVY SNOW. THE LOWER PASSES...SNOQUALMIE...STEVENS...AND
WHITE...WILL PROBABLY GET A MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION TYPES
INCLUDING SNOW...RAIN...AND FREEZING RAIN. HEAVY SNOW IN ONE OR
MORE OF THESE PASSES AT TIMES IS POSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS LIKELY TO BE
ADVERSELY AFFECTED.

WEATHER MODELS HAVE DIFFICULTY WITH TIMING AND OTHER DETAILS WHEN
THE PATTERN IS AS PROGRESSIVE AS THIS APPEARS TO BE. WITH AN
IMPRESSIVE SERIES OF STORMS HEADED OUR WAY...THERE SEEMS LITTLE
DOUBT THAT WESTERN WASHINGTON IS HEADED THE SORT OF WET AND
WINDY WEATHER THAT IS COMMON TO LATE NOVEMBER.


Methinks the time for sustained darkroom work has once again arrived...



Ken